It is indeed true that right wing government of Prime Minister Netanyahu has created personnel relation with US President Trump (and with UK Prime Minister Johnson in lesser extent) to implement Israel’s ideological imperatives in the region. The Israel alignment with US administration has given the opportunity to annex the Golan Heights and West Bank. It is unknown that the next administration will support Israel’s annexation in the region but it is granted that there will be a change in US administration if not November 2020 likely to be during 2024.
If desired, US has every mean to impose pressure on Israel. First and most importantly, US can impose sanctions on military equipment purchase. Israel is buying some 60% of its arms from US alone. US can alone impose sanctions economically like they have been applying on Crimea. But the most likely scenario would be applying boycotts to persuade corporations and consumers to avoid doing business with Israel’s Palestinian policies. Of course scenario depends on if democrats will be in the office and wants to do something on Israel policy. Therefore, we have been seeing Israel lobbies working on promoting Trump policies. In order to avoid such threat, Israel has to diversify its relations.
Therefore, we shall consider the relations getting closer between Russia and Israel. In case, US decided to apply boycotts Israel has no option but to get closer to Russia, China and India. It would be a picture closer what US-Turkey looks like nowadays. Israel has to get closer with Russia, China and India since they are not very keen on Palestinian issue. Russia needs to project itself in Middle East as not regional but global power, China needs to find disturbance to make US busy with Middle East but not Macadam Strait and India under the control of right wing government is perfect trade partner for Israel.
The effect of such scenario would be disturbing the balance in the Middle East. In that cases, there would be interesting coalitions to emerge.
